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Economic and Market Updates

Insights on economic and market events.

June 27, 2025

Gradual Decoupling from China Began in 2018

By reducing the tariff rate on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, President Trump significantly de-escalated his trade war and reduced the left-tail risk of a sudden forced decoupling from China. But remember that the 30% figure represents new tariffs. Those are applied on top of preexisting tariffs, many of which were initially implemented during President Trump’s first term and…

July 1, 2025

Economic and Market Overview — June 2025

Equities and Treasury yields rose, and credit spreads tightened during a month in which the trade policy rollercoaster continued, Moody’s downgraded U.S. debt, and the House advanced a reconciliation bill that would further increase the federal deficit.

June 5, 2025

Pension Surplus Risk Index (PSRX®)

The Pension Surplus Risk Index (PSRX®) decreased to 5.7% as both interest rate and equity volatility slowed.

April 24, 2025

Deal or No Deal

Review the discussion (~60 mins) between David Eichhorn and Stephen Douglass as they consider the latest economic and market developments of this volatile moment in American history.

April 8, 2025

Pension Risk Transfer (PRT)

NISA’s Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) Credit Risk Monitor is a market-based measure of the relative credit risk of common PRT annuity providers (“insurers”) designed to assist fiduciaries in identifying a “safest annuity available” PRT provider as required by the Department of Labor’s Interpretive Bulletin 95-1.

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